'No doubt' there will be further wave of COVID-19 in UK, statistics chief warns


A man wearing a protective face mask walks along the Golden Jubilee Bridge, amid the COVID-19 outbreak, in London, Britain, March 12, 2021. [Photo/Agencies]

LONDON - Britain's chief national statistician on Sunday said he has "no doubt" that there will be a further wave of COVID-19 infections in the autumn, the Evening Standard newspaper reported.

Professor Ian Diamond, head of the British Office for National Statistics (ONS), also said there is a lot of regional variation in terms of how many people have antibodies.

His comments came after Chief Medical Officer for England Professor Chris Whitty said there were still risks to reopening society and Britain will experience another surge of cases at some point, potentially in late summer or through the autumn and winter.

Diamond told the BBC that people need to understand how the data is moving forward and look at the impact of the "wonderful" vaccine rollout.

"But having said that, we need also to recognize that this is a virus that isn't going to go away," he told The Andrew Marr Show on BBC One.

"And I have no doubt that in the autumn there will be a further wave of infections," he said.

Asked if it is too early to know how much of the fall in infections across Britain is down to the vaccine rollout, he said there are a number of moving parts such as vaccines and restrictions.

Whitty said earlier that he would "strongly advise" against any move to shorten the timetable for easing lockdown restrictions.

Speaking to the British parliament's Science and Technology Committee, Whitty said that the measures pencilled in for May 17, when indoor mixing of up to six people could be allowed, involved "significant risks".

Modelling considered by the British government's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) has suggested that even under the most optimistic set of assumptions, at least a further 30,000 COVID-19 deaths could occur.

On Feb 22, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced his long-anticipated "roadmap" exiting the lockdown. The Monday reopening of schools in England was the first part of the four-step plan, which Johnson said was designed to be "cautious but irreversible".

Other parts of Britain, including Wales and Scotland, have also unveiled plans to ease the restrictions.

Experts have warned Britain is "still not out of the woods" amid concerns over new variants and the risks of the public breaching restriction rules.

To bring life back to normal, countries such as Britain, China, Germany, Russia and the United States have been racing against time to roll out coronavirus vaccines.

2021年3月12日,英国伦敦,新冠肺炎疫情爆发期间,一名男子戴着防护面罩走在金禧桥上。[图片/机构]

伦敦——据《标准晚报》报道,英国国家首席统计师周日表示,他“毫不怀疑”秋季将会有新一轮新冠肺炎感染。


英国国家统计局(ONS)局长伊恩·戴蒙德教授也表示,就有多少人有抗体而言,存在很大的地区差异。


此前,英国首席医疗官克里斯·惠蒂教授表示,重新开放社会仍有风险,英国将在某个时候经历另一次病例激增,可能在夏末或秋冬季节。


戴蒙德告诉英国广播公司,人们需要了解数据是如何向前发展的,并看看“精彩”疫苗推出的影响。


“但话虽如此,我们也需要认识到这是一种不会消失的病毒,”他在英国广播公司一台的安德鲁·马尔节目上说。


“我毫不怀疑,在秋季将会有进一步的感染浪潮,”他说。


当被问及现在知道英国感染人数的下降有多少是由于疫苗的推出是否为时过早时,他说有一些动态的部分,如疫苗和限制。


惠蒂早些时候表示,他将“强烈建议”不要采取任何行动来缩短放松封锁限制的时间表。


惠蒂在向英国议会科学技术委员会发表讲话时表示,计划于5月17日实施的措施涉及“重大风险”,届时室内最多可容纳6人。


英国政府紧急情况科学咨询小组(SAGE)考虑的模型表明,即使在最乐观的假设下,至少还会有30,000名新冠肺炎人死亡。


2月22日,英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊宣布了他期待已久的退出封锁的“路线图”。周一英格兰学校的重新开放是四步计划的第一步,约翰逊说,该计划旨在“谨慎但不可逆转”。


包括威尔士和苏格兰在内的英国其他地区也公布了放松限制的计划。


专家警告称,由于担心新的变体和公众违反限制规则的风险,英国“仍未脱离困境”。


为了让生活恢复正常,英国、中国、德国、俄罗斯和美国等国家一直在争分夺秒地推出冠状病毒疫苗。


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